using Pkg;Pkg.activate("probprog/workspace/");Pkg.instantiate();
IJulia.clear_output();

using PyPlot, LinearAlgebra

# Model specification: y|x ~ 𝒩(f(x), v(x))
f(x) = 5*x .- 2 
v(x) = 10*exp.(2*x.^2) .- 9.5 # input dependent noise variance
x_test = [0.0, 1.0]
plot(x_test, f(x_test), "k--") # plot f(x)

# Generate N samples (x,y), where x ~ Unif[0,1]
N = 50
x = rand(N)
y = f(x) + sqrt.(v(x)) .* randn(N)
plot(x, y, "kx"); xlabel("x"); ylabel("y") # Plot samples

# Add constant to input so we can estimate both the offset and the slope
_x = [x ones(N)]
_x_test = hcat(x_test, ones(2))

# LS regression
w_ls = pinv(_x) * y
plot(x_test, _x_test*w_ls, "b-") # plot LS solution

# Weighted LS regression
W = Diagonal(1 ./ v(x)) # weight matrix
w_wls = inv(_x'*W*_x) * _x' * W * y
plot(x_test, _x_test*w_wls, "r-") # plot WLS solution
ylim([-5,8]); legend(["f(x)", "D", "LS linear regr.", "WLS linear regr."],loc=2);



open("../../styles/aipstyle.html") do f
    display("text/html", read(f, String))
end